Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.007891 0.009311 0.011023 0.013270 0.016195 0.019949 0.025264
2025-03-23 0.006025 0.007680 0.009910 0.013247 0.018338 0.026234 0.040421
2025-03-30 0.004889 0.006525 0.008886 0.012732 0.019280 0.030987 0.056685
2025-04-06 0.004199 0.005801 0.008236 0.012480 0.020398 0.036467 0.079405
2025-04-13 0.003803 0.005418 0.007994 0.012781 0.022553 0.045212 0.121390
2025-04-20 0.003571 0.005241 0.008031 0.013558 0.025963 0.059379 0.210077
2025-04-27 0.003337 0.005019 0.007939 0.014051 0.028987 0.075454 0.366619
2025-05-04 0.003078 0.004715 0.007643 0.014038 0.030783 0.089790 0.606079
2025-05-11 0.002858 0.004449 0.007371 0.014008 0.032549 0.106529 1.068988
2025-05-18 0.002637 0.004157 0.007004 0.013673 0.033299 0.120344 1.823960
2025-05-25 0.002412 0.003832 0.006532 0.012986 0.032683 0.127006 2.757049
2025-06-01 0.002231 0.003574 0.006162 0.012483 0.032512 0.136699 4.733707
2025-06-08 0.002113 0.003438 0.006059 0.012726 0.035477 0.176258 26.320240
2025-06-15 0.001985 0.003273 0.005875 0.012732 0.037736 0.220759 1325.222151
2025-06-22 0.001835 0.003051 0.005541 0.012246 0.037755 0.247288 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001721 0.002887 0.005311 0.012007 0.038783 0.292721 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001653 0.002808 0.005263 0.012292 0.042548 0.404471 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001617 0.002790 0.005352 0.013028 0.049435 0.667791 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001568 0.002739 0.005354 0.013495 0.055508 1.078328 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001498 0.002639 0.005224 0.013482 0.058701 1.534171 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001433 0.002545 0.005098 0.013454 0.061916 2.254077 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001361 0.002429 0.004904 0.013137 0.062780 2.952360 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001280 0.002289 0.004635 0.012486 0.060541 3.165712 NaN